Mathematics of Starvation

Discussion in 'Environmental Discussion' started by Rae Vynn, May 29, 2008.

  1. Rae Vynn

    Rae Vynn Artist In Residence

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    I received this in an email. I do not know if it is available on a web site, so I am posting it, in its entirety. At the end, there is permission from the author to do so. I feel that this is too important not to share.

    The Mathematics of Starvation
    By Tom Spontelli

    Throughout human history, grain has been the fundamental basis of human nutrition and civilization. Countless civilizations have fallen simply because the production of grain did not meet the basic nutritional needs of their people.

    We live in a global economy where grain is traded and shipped internationally across the globe. We live in a one-world grain economy. This world grain economy is basically a giant auction house where consumers bid with their dollars how world grain production will be used. Some bid for grain to feed livestock, others bid for grain to feed themselves.

    From a simple market view of the economy: If the global demand is larger then global supply than some bidders will not get grain. If the global supply is greater then the global demand than (by definition) there will be enough for everyone's needs. The large scale use or waste of grain in one part of the world can directly cause shortages in another part of the world.

    You may have noticed in the news lately that we have begun to hit those boundaries. Before this crisis, inadequate distribution kept global grain from certain markets. Now, global demand for grain has increased the cost to the point where it is simply no longer available to some of the poorer people and places who have access to the world grain market, but are simply being outbid for the limited resources. We are now seeing an actual global shortage of grain. If you do a simple search on-line for "grain shortage" you will see countless articles and studies about the fact that there is simply not enough grain to meet the current global demand.

    According to the World Health Organization, there are 780 million malnourished people (those who can not get the minimum 2150 calories of food needed daily) and every 2 ½ seconds another child dies of starvation: 4,000 children per day DEAD from starvation. 1.4 million per year. To maximize relief efforts, International humanitarian organizations allocate 1 cup of grain per child per day to be just the bare minimum enough to prevent death from starvation, but there simply is not enough grain produced on the globe to meet market demands for livestock production and to also feed these children. It would take 205 million pounds of grain to save the lives of the 1.4 million who would otherwise starve to death this year. While there may be many factors that contribute to this, the global grain shortage is a very major factor and will only make this problem significantly worse as the crisis continues.

    An incredibly high amount of the world's grain is used to feed cattle to raise beef. 66-70% of the vegetable protein (grains and legumes) grown in the US and the world, respectively, is fed to livestock. Keep in mind, it takes 16 pounds of grain to raise one pound of edible beef. Yet, one pound of whole grain (brown rice or whole corn or wheat) has roughly the same number of calories per pound (about 1500) as ground beef. We have to put 24,000 calories of grain into a cow to get 1,500 calories worth of beef in return: a 93.8% net loss of calories.

    If 16 pounds of grain are used to grow 1 pound of beef, then every "quarter-pound" burger that a person eats from a fast food restaurant takes four pounds of grain off of the world market. In other words, we take 6,000 calories of grain off of the world market to get 375 calories of beef in our quarter pounder.

    At 2.5 cups (servings) per pound, those four pounds of grain that have been removed from the market by a ONE single quarter pound fast food burger could have fed a starving child for 10 days, or prevented 10 children from starving to death TODAY.

    The average American eats about 65 pounds of beef per year, which takes over 1,000 pounds of grain to raise. That means that Americans use 275 billion pounds of grain to raise the beef that they consume, yet less than 1/10th of 1 percent of that grain (204 million pounds) could feed the 1.4 million children who will otherwise starve to death in the next year. (Strangely, many of the top life-threatening illnesses faced by Americans are worsened by an over consumption of meat and animal products; heart attack, stroke, diabetes, obesity)

    By ONE person choosing to feed himself on vegetable protein instead of beef, enough grain can be freed up on the world market to feed 2.8 (of the 4,000 children slated to die each from starvation) each day EVERY DAY and benefit his own health in the process.

    The truth is that the world produces enough grain to meet the nutritional requirements of every person on the planet, but it is the diversion of the MAJORITY (66%) of our global grain supply to feed livestock who strip 93.8%( 15/16th) calories out of the food compared to what they give, THAT REMOVES 61.9% OF THE TOTAL FOOD CALORIES FROM OUR GLOBAL FOOD SUPPLY and converts it to manure! All this so that Americans can have their fill of hamburgers and hot dogs.

    When we hear on the news about the global grain shortage or the toll of lethal poverty, we can not turn away. We need to ask "What are my actions that contribute to this? What can I do to be part of the solution and not part of the problem?" The answer can be very simple.

    Free use copyright 2008 – Tom Spontelli (Article may be distributed, reprinted or republished without charge as long as credit is given to the author.)
     
  2. F8L

    F8L Protecting Habitat & AG Lands

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    It all boils down to basic ecology and the ecological pyramid where it shows that only about 10% of the energy contained in a primary producer (1st lvl) is transfered into new mass of the primary consumer (2nd lvl).

    "When energy is transferred to the next trophic level, typically only 10% of it is used to build new biomass, becoming stored energy (the rest going to metabolic processes). As such, in a Pyramid of Productivity each step will be 10% the size of the previous step (100, 10, 1, 0.1, 0.01, 0.001 etc.)."

    Then there is also the environmental and disease factors involved with beef and pork production.... :eek:
     
  3. Ichabod

    Ichabod Artist In Residence

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    You preacher. Me choir. :D

    I've been vegetarian since the age of 15. I'm the only one in my immediate family, but one or two of the others are coming around. I don't try to hassle them about it too much, but it's probably the single biggest thing you can do to reduce your impact. If you say you're doing things to "go green," my unforgiving attitude is that it's lip-service until you go veg.
     
  4. chogan2

    chogan2 Senior Member

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    The arithmetic seems about right. But I'd like to make two comments.

    I'm not sure the economics would work out that way -- that the grain not fed to cattle would go to the starving in impoverished countries. We'd have to give up grain-fed beef and give away the grain. Which would require a change of diet and a change of heart.

    The second comment is little darker and Malthusian. If we feed them today, they'll have babies and there'll be that many more starving people in the next generation. So, free grain combined with birth control would work, free grain by itself will only work temporarily. Easy for me to say as my kids are not starving.

    I didn't used to think like that. I held traditional Christian beliefs on charity. Even occasionally acted on them. But now I wonder whether global limits to growth don't make a mockery of traditional attitudes toward charity. Or maybe I'm just turning into Scrooge as I get older (" If they would rather die they had better do it, and decrease the surplus population").
     
  5. Rae Vynn

    Rae Vynn Artist In Residence

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    Preacher. Yup, that's kinda funny. Okay, moving on...

    Yes, it is true that Just Growing More Grain isn't the answer. Food distribution is also a problem. It always has been. Which leads to...

    ...Over population problems. Yes, there are a lot of people in "3rd world" countries, and, also in the USA, who feel that "all children are gifts from g-d", and thus birth control is a no-no, regardless of the impact upon the ecosystem. Amazingly enough, the ones that are the most vehement about not messing with "G-d's plan" for how many babies they have, are also the most OFFENDED by the idea that one could cut down/out meat consumption.

    Having lived over in that camp for too many years, I can tell you that those two ideologies are as tightly intertwined as DNA strands!

    Hopefully, the idea that eating animals is an inefficient way to feed people will trickle out to the world, huh?
     
  6. DaveinOlyWA

    DaveinOlyWA 3rd Time was Solariffic!!

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    The Omnivore's Dilemma by Michael Pollen is a book that you must read.

    for 2 years now, we have purchased grass-fed beef from a local farmer. its meat that is grain, pesticide, and hormone free.

    another thing that is not touched on is the amount of carbon that is NOT sequestered by feeding cattle grain not to mention how much CO2 is produced by raising beef in the first place.
     
  7. Godiva

    Godiva AmeriKan Citizen

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    Providing more grain by giving up meat isn't the answer.

    Because we didn't use to grow this much grain. There were starving people. So we developed high yield grain and grew a lot more grain. And there are still starving people.

    Birth control.

    That man in Africa who has 19 children and his wife is pregnant again. (True. Heard the interview.)

    Birth control is only one of the answers.

    But if we all became vegetarians and shipped all of the grain the (now dead) cows aren't eating any more....there will still be starving people. And pretty soon.....we'll all starve.

    That's harsh, I know. But I don't feel the solution should be all on MY shoulders (becoming vegetarian.) Not until the recipients are doing THEIR part too.
     
  8. F8L

    F8L Protecting Habitat & AG Lands

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    In general those 19 kids will use up less resources during their lifetimes than 1 "avg" child growing up in California. :)

    In most cases people have many children because it is their only form of social security and/or because of high death rates among children. From studies, documentaries, and conference "talks", most women in developing countries would be happy to have fewer children if:

    A: The social or religious constructs they must adhere to did not require them to.

    B: They believed their 2 or 3 children would grow to adulthood and take care of them when old.

    C: Women were empowered to work and follow their own dreams should they want to do so.

    So it's not as easy as saying they just need to stop having so many children. A lot of women and men in developing countries have very good reasons for having many children. I concede that some just don't know how to do simple math and find themselves broke trying to feed so many kids. We see this in the U.S. as well. :(

    My suggestion? If we are taking ANY resource from these countries and not paying a fair market value that includes a living wage for those invloved with it's production, transportation, extraction, or any losses due to land ownership and/or habitation then we should be making some sacrifice for their sake. A better alternative would be to include these countries in new technological advances, profit sharing, family planning, etc. To do anything less is simple exploitation and very unethical IMO.

    There is no simple solution here but there are ethical ones that can be implemented but they require sacrifice and political will. :)
     
  9. qbee42

    qbee42 My other car is a boat

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    Birth control. It's as simple as that, otherwise disease, starvation, and war will do it for us. Meat verses grain and all of the other factors vanish into the noise in comparison.

    Tom
     
  10. F8L

    F8L Protecting Habitat & AG Lands

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    See I'm not sure it is that simple Tom. If you force a couple in Africa to limit themselves to 1 or 2 children and those children die early or worse, they die in their early adult stages then who will take care of the couple when they are old? They do not have the benefit of social security checks that come in the mail each month. Those children were their social security checks.

    I definately don't have all the answers but I don't think birth control is the best and/or only answer. One has to take socioeconomics and culture into consideration.
     
  11. nerfer

    nerfer A young senior member

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    Birth control largely comes on its own with urbanization and education. When you are a farmer doing all or most of the work by hand, having children is a valuable resource (as well as they take care of you in your old age, as F8L mentioned). But when you have to pay for education (even just for school supplies) and the children aren't herding cattle or planting rice, then children become more of a luxury, even a liability to some extent, not a necessity.

    But in addition, for decades all we've concentrated on is reducing diseases in developing countries, particularly among children. Politicians always agree to appropriate money to reduce early deaths. But we don't do anything for controlling the resulting rise in population, or for providing any kind of employment or increase in food supply. That part is left to them.
     
  12. Rae Vynn

    Rae Vynn Artist In Residence

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    And none of this even begins to discuss using grain for energy.

    "Diet for a small planet" is a classic on eating less, so that others may eat.
    Social justice groups have long had the slogan: Live simply, so that others may simply live.

    It does come down to that. What we do has an effect on the rest of the world. Whether it is the food that we eat, the clothes we wear, or the petrol we use, we have an impact. The raw materials, the labor, the finished goods, often come from places that don't have anything like "enough" for themselves.

    Cattle ranches are displacing small villages in the rainforest of south america. The rainforests are being slashed and burned to make pastureland. That beef is being shipped to the USA, and is a large part of processed foods and fast food meat.
    Villages that lived within the ecosystem no longer can. The beef is not feeding them, it is being shipped here.

    Waiting for "them" to somehow improve their own situations before caring about our own impact on the world seems a bit short-sighted.
     
  13. hyo silver

    hyo silver Awaaaaay

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    Another part of the food equation is that many farmers are going broke. The costs of fertiliser, fuel, and seed have all risen, but the income has not. Most farmers used to grow their own seed, but due to the 'wonders' of genetic modification, they have to buy new seed every year. From the same company that sells the pesticide. Hmm.
     
  14. qbee42

    qbee42 My other car is a boat

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    This is true, and in this situation people can have as many kids as they want, since they are self-sufficient. As soon as external resources are required, the equation changes dramatically, and then you need population control, or nature will do the controlling for us. You don't want nature to take care of population control.

    It's really not that complex. What you see as complexity is complexity for the individual: making a good living, having kids for social backup and old age care, and that sort of thing. What's best for the world is not necessarily best for every individual. From a global standpoint we simply have too many people. It doesn't get much simpler than that.

    Tom
     
  15. Devil's Advocate

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  16. Godiva

    Godiva AmeriKan Citizen

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    Rainforests are being slashed and burned for farms too. With soil so poor that they get one crop and then move on. And the remaining soil isn't even good enough for the rainforest to return. It's basically sterile.

    Unless you address the birth control problem you're basically asking everyone to starve.

    Teach them to fish. Don't ask me to give away my pole.
     
  17. daniel

    daniel Cat Lovers Against the Bomb

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    I don't normally look in this forum. I'm surprised the "but-I-like-meat" crowd has not posted on this thread yet. Americans feel that they have a right to use all the resources they can pay for, and they feel that the government owes it to them to hold the prices of resources down. Last time I noticed a thread on the environmental side-effects of meat, there was a great swell of righteous indignation on the part of the meat eaters, who insisted that it was their right to eat meat because they like the taste of it.

    I think that both the birth-control advocates and the advocates of vegetarianism are right. Meat is criminally wasteful of scarce resources, but nothing will be able to feel an exponentially-growing population indefinitely.
     
  18. tripp

    tripp Which it's a 'ybrid, ain't it?

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    WRONG!!!

    Pass the Land Shrimp

    :D
     
  19. Rae Vynn

    Rae Vynn Artist In Residence

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    I think that, as a vegan, I can't eat "Land shrimp"...


    whew!!!
     
  20. hyo silver

    hyo silver Awaaaaay

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    ah grasshopper...a bit of butter and salt, maybe a few spices, gently sauteed....:eek: