So says David Nabhan . . . http://pittsburgh.cbslocal.com/2014/05/29/author-says-earthquakes-are-predictable/ I dan't understand how other researchers missed the dusk/dawn connection or how he came up with the July/September dates but then what do I know?
Six events is a terribly small sample size to use. My personal sample size is even smaller, I've been hit by falling earthquake debris only once, during Washington's Nisqually quake. That didn't happen anywhere near dusk nor dawn. As for 'predictable', that particular news reports seems to be dredged up from the bottom of the barrel. I find articles such as this more promising: Scientists say some quakes may be predictable. Under my feet, we experience a predictable 'quake' of approximately magnitude 6.5, about every 14 months. But it is not the traditional quake that people are most familiar with. Here are several links: Episodic Tremor and Slip in the Pacific Northwest The earth's shaking a record amount in the Northwest Episodic Tremor and Slip
If he is confident, he needs to go to Italy and start making predictions. Apparently that job has a lot of openings in Italy.
I predict that if you have Fracking in your area, you will soon have an earthquake. Bill the engineer
I predict that any fracking oil that they can get to, they'll extract. Quakes and quacks notwithstanding.
Amm0bob, our normal earthquake prognosticator, hasn't logged in for nearly a year. But ... Here is another potential earthquake precursor, first noticed with the great Japan quake of 2011, and since connected to numerous others. It is based on disturbances in the ionosphere, as measured by a dense network of ground GPS receivers, and begins appearing 20-40 minutes prior to major events. The investigator had been following disturbances that happen immediately after quakes. But consensus remains lacking, and there hasn't been enough work to determine if a useful or reliable signal can be teased out of the other disturbances and noises present in the ionosphere. "British and Russian scientists have proposed a satellite that could better track atmospheric anomalies such as the ones Heki studies, and China is moving forward with a space-based prediction program that relies on electromagnetic disturbances in the ionosphere." But no timetables given, and no optimism expressed for short term breakthroughs. Early Warnings of Terrible Earthquakes Appear High in the Sky, a New Theory Says - Scientific American
